Patronato vs Velez prediction and tips - 10 Dec 2018 • TheWinningBets.com

Match Day 15 of the League Argentina - Primera Division
Patronato de Paraná

Patronato de Paraná

3
vs
Vélez Sarsfield

Vélez Sarsfield

3
First Half: 2-1
Second Half: 1-2
Type of Bet Results Forecast
Winner of the Match Patronato and Velez draw Won
Goal Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Lose
Both Teams Score No Goal Lose
3 Most Probable Results 0 - 0 / 1 - 0 / 0 - 1 Won
Type of Bet 1T Results 1T Forecast
Winner of the Match 1T Patronato and Velez draw Lose
Goal Over / Under 0.5 1T Under 0.5 Lose
Both Teams Score 1T No Goal Lose
3 Most Probable Results 1T 0 - 0 / 2 - 3 / 2 - 1 Won
Type of Bet 2T Results 2T Forecast
Winner of the Match 2T Patronato and Velez draw Lose
Goal Over / Under 0.5 2T Under 0.5 Lose
Both Teams Score 2T No Goal Lose
3 Most Probable Results 2T 0 - 0 / 2 - 3 / 2 - 1 Lose

Complete Prediction

The game we are about to analyze, with statistics and percentages extrapolated from our calculation algorithms, sees clash Patronato against Velez, on the day 15 of the championship of Argentina - Primera Division. Good reading, and if you are not yet registered, subscribe to the site to get free access to the full prediction.

Since we are witnessing a clash between a strong and a weaker team, the outcome could easily be deduced, always remembering that surprises can always happen, and that when a match is unbalanced bet more on the favorite to get decent earnings. The Patronato has well 15 points less of Velez, from here we can understand the imbalance of forces in favor of away team. Patronato has so far won at home 2 times on 8, scoring 11 goals and conceding 15, while Velez has won away from home 1 times 7, scoring 9 Goals and conceding 15.

Patronato vs Velez predictionPatronato vs Velez prediction

Patronato vs Velez: Analysis of the State of Form

To study the shape of the two teams we compare their last 5 days of play, as already shown on the rectangle at the beginning of the article. For a better understanding of the table, we list here the list of columns: date on which the match was played, list of the two teams, goals scored throughout the match and in the first half only, position in the ranking before the clash.

Patronato had results below average, it was not a complete disaster but there is still a lot to do. 6 points out of 15 totaled in these five games and a road so all uphill. Velez is in a not too bad form and has won and equaled most of the last five games played by scoring 10 points. state of form is certainly competitive but it is also the one with the most varied trend.

Analysis of the State of Form
Patronato FT 1T Pos Velez FT 1T Pos
28/10/2018 Patronato
Rosario Central
2
1
1
0
25
13
28/10/2018 Velez
Belgrano
1
0
0
0
6
22
03/11/2018 Union Santa Fe
Patronato
2
2
1
1
6
24
05/11/2018 Defensa y Justicia
Velez
3
2
2
1
3
9
13/11/2018 Patronato
San martin
3
3
3
0
23
20
13/11/2018 Velez
0
0
0
0
9
21
17/11/2018 Boca Juniors
Patronato
1
0
0
0
6
25
25/11/2018 Union Santa Fe
Velez
0
2
0
1
9
7
01/12/2018 Newell's Old Boys
Patronato
0
0
0
0
18
26
03/12/2018 Velez
Rosario Central
2
0
0
0
6
14

Team and Championship statistics

Below the statistics on the league and teams of Over and Under and Average of the Goals. A valuable set of data that compares the teams Patronato and Velez with their championship of membership of Argentina - Primera Division all to refine your bets on Total Goals

We have calculated an average Total scores, in the matches played by Velez, of 2.33 Goals, while the average calculated on the matches of Patronato is 2.87 Goals made and suffered.

These two averages, which are still the average goals of the single teams, are to be combined in a new joint average, which gains value 2.6 Goals and then compare it with the same value but on everything the championship We will find out that the first average is greater than second. These two averages, calculated on the first half, which are still the average goals of the individual teams, must be combined in a new joint average, which gains value 1.1 Goals. same value but over the whole championship.We find out that the first average is greater than second. If we calculate a new average from these two values, we get the average Total scores of the two teams in the second half, or 1.4 Goals. If we compare this value with the average of the championship, 0.77 Goals, we note that the first value is greater than second average.

The tables below effectively summarize all that we have written previously, you can compare the average scores values ​​of the teams Patronato and Velez with the championship, and we have data also available for the first and second time.


Team and Championship statistics
Patronato Velez
Average Gol / Match 2.87 Goals 2.33 Goals
Under 0.5 Goals 13.33% (2/15) 13.33% (2/15)
Over 0.5 Goals 86.67% (13/15) 86.67% (13/15)
Under 1.5 Goals 33.33% (5/15) 33.33% (5/15)
Over 1.5 Goals 66.67% (10/15) 66.67% (10/15)
Under 2.5 Goals 40% (6/15) 73.33% (6/15)
Over 2.5 Goals 60% (9/15) 26.67% (4/15)
Under 3.5 Goals 66.67% (10/15) 80% (10/15)
Over 3.5 Goals 33.33% (5/15) 20% (3/15)
Under 4.5 Goals 80% (12/15) 86.67% (12/15)
Over 4.5 Goals 20% (3/15) 13.33% (2/15)
Goal 53.33% (8/15) 33.33% (5/15)
No Goal 46.67% (7/15) 66.67% (10/15)
Team and Championship statistics Only 1st Half
Patronato Velez
Average of the Goals 1T 1.27 Goals 0.93 Goals
Under 0.5 Goals 1T 33.33% 46.67%
Over 0.5 Goals 1T 66.67% 53.33%
Under 1.5 Goals 1T 60% 73.33%
Over 1.5 Goals 1T 40% 26.67%
Goal 1T 26.67% 20%
No Goal 1T 73.33% 80%
Team and Championship statistics Only 2nd Half
Patronato Velez
Average of the Goals 2T 1.53 Goals 1.27 Goals
Under 0.5 Goals 2T 26.67% 20%
Over 0.5 Goals 2T 73.33% 80%
Under 1.5 Goals 2T 46.67% 60%
Over 1.5 Goals 2T 53.33% 40%
Goal 2T 33.33% 20%
No Goal 2T 66.67% 80%

Odds

These are the average odds we found from the various Bookmakers for the match Patronato Velez

1 X 2 Over 2.5 Under 2.5
Odd 4.3 3.44 1.96 2.26 1.68

Bookmakers have determined that Velez is favored and during the game they will score less than 2.5 Goals


Prediction: Complete Match

Below you will find the probability tables we recorded for the game Patronato vs Velez. You will find percentages concerning the winner of the 1X2 match, how many goals will be scored during the match (Over - Under), if both teams score at least one goal (Goal - No Goal), the Final Half Result or how the game will end considering the results of the First and Second Time and the Exact Result, or the If you are not registered on the site, we suggest you do it: it is not enough to simply read the results, but you need to read the percentages, study them, and realize if a game can be played or not.

Patronato vs Velez predictionPatronato vs Velez prediction

Probably the game will be characterized by a lack of goals from both sides. Analyzing the previous table we can also deduce that it is low the probability that both teams score (30.2%). Analyzing the Partial / Final result of the match, we conclude that the match is very balanced and could end in a draw in both times. This type of result makes us think of a 0-0 at the end of the game, but we can not exclude reversals in the face given the balance of the game.


The Percentage Total could be lower than 100%

Prediction: Winner of the Match

Percentage
Home Win 34.04%
Away Win 30.6%
Draw 35.36%

The percentages collected by us, being very similar to each other, do not give us the possibility to calculate a possible outcome, therefore uncertainty dominates on this game.

The next tables will show the percentages as regards the exact result and the final result

Prediction: Over / Under

Speaking of Over and Under 2.5 Goals, according to our data the probability that it happens Under is more than 50%.

To realize what was said about the Total Goals, you can view the next table.

0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5
Over 79.74% 47.39% 21.57% 21.57% 2.35%
Under 20.26% 52.61% 78.43% 92.17% 97.65%

Prediction: Goal / No Goal

Yes No
Both Teams Score 30.2% 69.8%

The algorithm indicates the presence low of the probabilistic conditions for which both teams could score a goal.The percentage is 30.2%.

Prediction: Partial / Final Result

The following table shows the Partial / Final prediction for the match: Patronato vs Velez.

Results Percentage
1 / 1 0%
1 / X 0%
1 / 2 0%
X / 1 0%
X / X 100%
X / 2 0%
2 / 1 0%
2 / X 0
2 / 2 0

Prediction: Correct Score

Probably the game will be characterized by a lack of goals on both sides: Here are the exact results that are most probable according to our systems:

home team Correct Score away team
Patronato 0 - 0 Velez
Patronato 1 - 0 Velez
Patronato 0 - 1 Velez
H - A 0 1 2 3 4
0 20.26% 15.57% 5.98% 1.53% 0.29%
1 16.78% 12.89% 4.95% 1.27% 0.24%
2 6.95% 5.34% 2.05% 0.53% 0.1%
3 1.92% 1.47% 0.57% 0.14% 0.03%
4 0.4% 0.31% 0.12% 0.03% 0.01%

Prediction: First Half

Analysis of the match by evaluating only the First Half.

Patronato vs Velez predictionPatronato vs Velez prediction

Probably the game will be characterized by a lack of goals from both sides in the first half. According to what emerged in the previous table, we can say that the probability that both teams score in the first half is low (0.1%).


Standings First Half Only
Team PNT G V N P F S
Standings First Half Only - Playing at home
Team PNT G V N P F S
Standings First Half Only - Playing in Transfer
Team PNT G V N P F S

Prediction: Winner of the Match 1T

Percentage
Home Win 1T 0%
Away Win 1T 0%
Draw 1T 100%

Prediction: Over / Under 1T

0.5 1.5
Over 0.1% 0.1%
Under 99.9% 99.9%

Prediction: Goal / No Goal

Yes No
Both Teams Score 0.1% 99.9%

Prediction: Correct Score 1T

home team Correct Score away team
Patronato 0 - 0 Velez
Patronato 2 - 3 Velez
Patronato 2 - 1 Velez
H - A 0 1 2
0 100% 0% 0%
1 0% 0% 0%
2 0% 0% 0%

Prediction: Second Half

Analysis of the Game evaluating only the Second Half. Below we report the movements of Betting Odds that we have detected over time

Patronato vs Velez predictionPatronato vs Velez prediction

Probably the game will be characterized by a lack of goals from both sides in the second half. The algorithm indicates the presence low of the probabilistic conditions for which both teams could score a goal in the second half .The percentage is 0.1%.


Standings Second Half Only
Team PNT G V N P F S
Standings Second Half Only - Playing at home
Team PNT G V N P F S
Standings Second Half Only - Playing in Transfer
Team PNT G V N P F S

Prediction: Winner of the Match 2T

Percentage
Home Win 2T 0%
Away Win 2T 0%
Draw 2T 100%

Prediction: Over / Under 2T

0.5 1.5
Over 0.1% 0.1%
Under 99.9% 99.9%

Prediction: Goal / No Goal

Yes No
Both Teams Score 0.1% 99.9%

Prediction: Correct Score 2T

home team Correct Score away team
Patronato 0 - 0 Velez
Patronato 2 - 3 Velez
Patronato 2 - 1 Velez
H - A 0 1 2
0 100% 0% 0%
1 0% 0% 0%
2 0% 0% 0%

Prediction: Asian Markets

The Asian markets represent fertile ground for many reasoning, representing an alternative, but also an integration, to our calculation algorithm.

Current Open
Patronato Home Asian Handicap (Odd) +0.5 (1.93) +0.25 (2.09)
Velez Away Asian Handicap (Odd) -0.5 (1.99) -0.25 (1.83)
Over Line 2.25 2
Over Odd 2.060 2.070
Under Odd 1.840 1.830

Home Asian Handicap (Odd): represents the Asian Handicap threshold of the home team, for which it has a fair chance that it will win with certain goals of difference, expected from this match, and in brackets there is its relative quota The same speech done in reverse applies to the threshold of the away team.

.

Over Line: The Over / Under threshold indicates which is the fair value to bet on the Total Goals, so if the current value is 2.25, it means that betting on the possibility of more or less 2.25 goal is fair.

Over Odd / Under Odd: The values ​​of Quota Over / Under represent the Over / Under odds associated to the Line. In this case it indicates that the Over 2.25 bet type is quoted on the Asian market 2.060 while the Under 2.25 is listed 1.840.

Open / Current: the opening quote indicates the first detection at the time of the announcement of the game, the current one indicates the current value, which is in continuous movement and will be until the beginning of the game.

Asian Markets: Deep Analysis and Result of the Match

Now let's move from the study of the single values ​​to the complete study of all the values: their union, in fact, can lead to the accomplishment of a complex and effective forecast.

Taking into account the value of Asian Handicap of -0.5 in favor of away team , the game is very balanced .

Our prediction goals scored is Under 2.25, given at odds 1.840.

Type of Bet Results
Winner of the Match X2
Goal Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.25

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